Richard Berk
Professor of Statistics and Criminology
University of Pennsylvania

CV (Updated 9/2014)

Outside of a dog, a book is man's best friend. Inside of a dog it's too dark to read.

Groucho Marx

When you wish upon a falling star, your dreams can come true.
Unless it's really a meteorite hurtling to the Earth which will destroy all life.
Then you're pretty much out of luck no matter what you wish for.


Some Recent Working Papers

Statistical Inference After Model Selection
When Second Best Is Good Enough: A Comparison Between A True Experiment and a Regression Discontinuity Quasi-Experiment
The Dynamics of Crime Regimes
Small Area Estimation of the Homeless in Los Angeles: An Application of Cost-Sensitive Stochastic Gradient Boosting
The Role of Race in Forecasts of Violent Crime
Policing the Homeless: An Evaluation of Efforts to Reduce Homeless-Related Crime
Asymmetric Loss Functions for Forecasting in Criminal Justice Settings
Valid Post-Selection Inference
Algorithmic Criminology
Forecasts of Violence to Inform Sentencing Decisions
What You Can Learn From Wrong Models
Statistical Procedures for Forecasting Criminal Behavior: A Comparative Assessment
Misspecified Mean Function Regression: Making Good Use of Regression Models that are Wrong
Using Regression Kernels to Forecast A Failure to Appear in Court