Jan 12: Why study statistics? Finding terrorists and Type II errors -- HW 1 Assigned

• Math is Music; Statistics is Literature or Why are there no six year old Novelists? De Veaux & Velleman (2008)
• Until Proven Guilty: False Positives and the War on Terror. Savage & Wainer (2008)
• Graphic Discovery, Chapter 22.

Jan 17: The most dangerous equation (Powerpoint Slides)

• The most dangerous equation Wainer (2007)
• Picturing the Uncertain World, Chapter 1.

Jan 19: How to display data badly - 1. Rules 1-6 (Powerpoint Slides) -- HW 1 Due, HW 2 Assigned

• How to display data badly 14 (Chapter 1)

Jan 24: How to display data badly - 2: Rules 7-12 (Powerpoint Slides)

• An argument for Divine Providence taken from the Constant Regularity in the Births of Both Sexes Arbuthnot (1710)

Jan 26: Multivariate display (Powerpoint Slides) -- HW 2 Due, HW 3 Assigned

• On Multivariate Display Wainer (1983)
• Graphic Discovery pages 115-141.

Jan 31: Scatterplots & Smoothing (Overhead Slides)

• Exploratory Data Analysis (Tukey) Chapter 7 pages 205-227.

Feb 2: Causal Inference - 1. Rubin's Model -- HW 3 Due, HW 8 Assigned (Powerpoint Notes) (Slides 1)(Slides 2)

• Holland's Statistics and causal inference
• Holland's Which comes first, cause or effect?

Feb 7: Review class for first exam

Feb 9: First Course Examination-- HW 8 Due

Feb 14: Regression - 1: Standard linear Least Squares fitting (Slides 1)(Slides 2)-- HW 4 Assigned

• Moore & McCabe Chapters 2.2, 2.3, and 10.1

Feb 16: Regression - 2: Robust linear fitting (compare with LS)

• Exploratory Data Analysis (Tukey) Chapter 5

Feb 21: Transformations - 1: Univariate to symmetry -- HW 4 Due, HW 5 Assigned (Powerpoint Slides)

• Exploratory Data Analysis (Tukey) Chapter 3

Feb 23: Transformations - 2: Bivariate to linearity (Excel Sheet)

• Exploratory Data Analysis (Tukey) Chapter 6

Feb 28: Nonlinear Regression - Logistic fitting of growth data (Slides)-- HW 5 Due, HW 6 Assigned

• Moore & McCabe Chapter 14.1, 14.2 (on disc)

Mar 1: Multiple Regression  (Slides)

• Vasilecu and Wainer Old Mother Hubbard and the United Nations: An adventure...
• Estimating coefficients in linear models: It don't make no nevermind
Wainer (1976)
• Moore & McCabe Chapter 11.

Mar 8 & 10: Spring Break - No Class.

Mar 13: Tabular Display (Slides)-- HW 6 Due

• Graphical Tales of Fate and Deception, Chapter 10
• Exacting Sunbeams from Cucumbers. Fernberg & Wainer (2011)
• Discussion article comments. Wainer(2011)

Mar 15: Two-way tables - 1: EDA decomposition (Table 1)(Table 2)(Table 3) -- HW 7 Assigned

• Exploratory Data Analysis (Tukey) Chapters 10 & 11 

Mar 20: Two-way tables - 2: Testing for independence (Slides) (Example)

• Moore & McCabe Chapters 9

Mar 22: Second examination (Answers)-- HW 7 Due 

Mar 27: Analysis of Variance - 1: 1-way (Slides 1) (Slides 2)-- HW 9 Assigned

• Moore & McCabe Chapter 12.1

Mar 29: Analysis of Variance - 2: 2-way.

• Moore & McCabe Chapter 13.1

Apr 3: Multiple comparisons - Bonferroni (Slides 1)  (Slides 2) -- HW 9 Due, HW 10 Assigned

• Moore & McCabe Chapter 12.2

Apr 5: Analysis of Covariance

• TBA

Apr 10: Simpson's Paradox - Kelley's Paradox -- HW 10 Due, HW 11 Assigned

• The interpretation of interaction in contingency tables Simpson (1951)
• Three statistical paradoxes in the interpretation of group differences: Illustrated with medical school admission and licensing data Wainer & Brown (2007)
• Graphic Discovery Chapter 9 and 10.

Apr 12: Lord's Paradox 

• Lord (1967). A paradox in the interpretation of group comparisons.
• Wainer (2004). Two statistical paradoxes in the interpretation of group differences

Apr 17: Everything Else -- HW 11 Due

• A leisurely look at the Bootstrap, the Jackknife and Cross-Validation. Efron & Gong (1983)

Apr 19: Review Session for Final Exam.