Time VWReturn X1 X2 X3 X4 X5 X6 X7 X8 X9 X10 CompleteReturn PredictedVWReturn PredError Date 1990 NA 1.804823 -0.34643 0.771179 0.208839 -2.29967 -0.23518 2.106944 1.26724 -0.0253 2.496975 NA 0.029647 NA 900131 1990.083 0.013419 -0.07992 1.605949 0.269631 -0.97868 -1.20123 1.365789 -0.19472 0.98472 2.069413 0.885794 0.013419 0.005744 0.007676 900228 1990.167 0.023544 0.396577 -1.02141 0.477535 -0.1322 -1.51522 -0.75849 -1.41797 -0.59956 0.310523 0.783936 0.023544 0.018195 0.005349 900330 1990.25 -0.02752 -1.08332 -0.27465 -0.71563 3.244401 -0.68636 -1.06438 0.911138 0.906189 0.181962 0.012039 -0.02752 0.000925 -0.02844 900430 1990.333 0.088362 2.238294 0.179503 -1.16092 -1.18691 -0.35551 0.454449 -0.51534 0.068077 -1.19423 -0.26278 0.088362 0.099911 -0.01155 900531 1990.417 -0.00574 -0.62423 -0.82116 -0.23556 0.129895 0.95971 -0.50328 -1.68898 0.352744 0.669636 -0.97656 -0.00574 -0.01629 0.010554 900629 1990.5 -0.00411 0.513658 0.474114 -0.1564 1.255204 1.095348 0.19685 -0.17779 -1.10236 0.192847 -0.36771 -0.00411 0.013333 -0.01745 900731 1990.583 -0.08743 -0.08661 -1.53521 0.027977 -0.22289 -0.05014 0.457849 1.229919 -0.33737 0.598497 0.707424 -0.08743 -0.0309 -0.05653 900831 1990.667 -0.04899 -0.59418 0.779946 -1.05641 0.109704 -0.17417 0.25073 -0.60537 -1.29439 1.016971 1.559229 -0.04899 -0.01822 -0.03077 900928 1990.75 -0.00942 0.031891 0.861269 0.728293 -1.21829 -0.81802 -1.26315 -0.9008 0.168936 -0.72339 1.129257 -0.00942 -0.00928 -0.00014 901031 1990.833 0.062804 -0.7378 0.347495 0.32711 0.881968 -2.17357 -0.03035 0.342283 2.744402 -0.18181 -1.58316 0.062804 0.051642 0.011162 901130 1990.917 0.028137 -0.25014 0.339795 0.352727 0.227608 -1.26064 1.454174 -0.66023 -2.38373 -0.05641 0.945875 0.028137 0.030345 -0.00221 901231 1991 0.042088 0.685005 -1.06196 0.12352 -0.22555 0.684137 1.03471 1.928274 -0.13481 0.091477 -0.77038 0.042088 0.01357 0.028518 910131 1991.083 0.073111 -0.80416 -0.53741 -0.58863 2.10218 0.306402 -2.3944 -0.24071 0.620928 -1.22642 0.488111 0.073111 0.074722 -0.00161 910228 1991.167 0.024368 -0.74428 0.57374 0.353012 0.098649 -0.60028 -0.69737 -1.09764 0.075837 2.057029 -1.03912 0.024368 0.020275 0.004093 910328 1991.25 0.002914 -0.7955 0.719403 1.110676 -0.60467 -1.47823 -0.53876 -0.39005 0.158354 -0.27104 -2.07088 0.002914 0.01032 -0.00741 910430 1991.333 0.039962 0.340711 1.379658 1.15719 1.038734 -0.76683 0.46682 -0.45089 -0.23504 -0.19561 -0.82913 0.039962 0.038875 0.001087 910531 1991.417 -0.04208 -0.30051 -0.99444 -0.93949 1.203079 0.447942 -1.06331 0.195429 -0.77793 0.312959 -0.63503 -0.04208 -0.02547 -0.01661 910628 1991.5 0.045281 -1.34985 -0.83979 -0.92049 1.75499 0.264254 0.739424 1.095268 0.625865 0.378337 1.502703 0.045281 0.036928 0.008353 910731 1991.583 0.024042 0.432705 0.797801 1.375219 1.678594 -2.56275 -1.78439 0.597324 -1.00087 -0.09048 0.26544 0.024042 0.040048 -0.01601 910830 1991.667 -0.013 1.305716 1.378604 -0.76911 -1.91023 0.793626 -2.13017 0.427308 0.04341 1.508454 -0.11416 -0.013 -0.02305 0.010053 910930 1991.75 0.015679 1.425127 -0.99467 0.305237 -2.7832 -0.39763 0.85589 -1.28394 0.499656 -1.23101 -0.58551 0.015679 -0.00204 0.017723 911031 1991.833 -0.03792 -0.4158 -0.62761 0.251342 0.381551 -0.06054 0.886249 -0.15042 -0.48953 0.741013 -0.13627 -0.03792 -0.04624 0.008324 911129 1991.917 0.105113 1.614381 -0.12235 -0.08037 -2.21038 -0.9494 0.211244 0.160046 -2.42731 -0.39083 0.072801 0.105113 0.087591 0.017522 911231 1992 -0.01016 -1.05773 0.736293 -0.25147 0.909261 0.662504 0.952639 -0.09757 0.030057 0.088855 0.238352 -0.01016 -0.00623 -0.00393 920131 1992.083 0.011877 -0.94833 0.896641 -2.23605 2.045076 0.089133 -0.18336 -1.81662 0.987146 2.710752 -1.18863 0.011877 0.010002 0.001875 920228 1992.167 -0.02007 0.953648 -0.40874 1.740151 0.201528 0.454129 0.299391 0.916933 0.047024 0.158607 -1.77234 -0.02007 -0.01243 -0.00764 920331 1992.25 0.02235 0.391979 -0.11147 0.770354 0.397931 0.256771 -1.15271 1.46256 -0.56036 0.467367 -0.09381 0.02235 -0.00343 0.025784 920430 1992.333 0.00557 -0.07614 1.041245 0.085539 -0.72214 -1.94445 -0.05117 1.330999 -0.5074 -0.55719 1.452876 0.00557 -0.01835 0.023916 920529 1992.417 -0.01638 1.220557 -0.99898 1.659586 -0.28399 -1.12589 0.951089 0.262785 -0.47166 -1.4816 1.783886 -0.01638 -0.00485 -0.01153 920630 1992.5 0.040624 -0.63084 -0.05231 -0.55475 -1.75509 1.187834 -2.49271 0.042149 -1.76647 -0.14032 -1.01892 0.040624 0.040051 0.000573 920731 1992.583 -0.01937 -0.63576 1.499599 0.341295 0.873593 -0.09034 -1.60887 0.299204 1.293198 -1.37161 1.231455 -0.01937 -0.00686 -0.01251 920831 1992.667 0.009043 -0.34 -0.6197 1.556202 0.307195 -1.3705 0.128451 -0.62324 -0.07171 -1.33957 0.607231 0.009043 0.004005 0.005038 920930 1992.75 0.00685 -0.07628 -1.3122 -0.20867 -0.05896 1.416151 -0.52716 0.974343 0.218798 -1.58701 0.506507 0.00685 -0.00077 0.007621 921030 1992.833 0.034373 0.965358 -0.45205 0.00901 -1.04612 0.744369 -1.6371 -2.1671 -1.47769 1.24897 0.59076 0.034373 0.036855 -0.00248 921130 1992.917 0.014721 -1.2167 -0.95298 1.619417 -1.15453 -0.82411 -0.9913 1.40286 -0.555 0.496389 1.428436 0.014721 0.007015 0.007706 921231 1993 0.009788 1.18449 -2.48493 -0.733 -0.08811 0.291987 -0.73022 -0.1749 0.804439 -0.5574 -0.55263 0.009788 0.006755 0.003034 930129 1993.083 0.012241 -0.34369 -0.82655 -0.31196 1.096271 -0.30479 -0.24664 0.133715 0.269685 1.264252 0.832121 0.012241 -0.01063 0.022875 930226 1993.167 0.024494 1.090243 -0.176 0.228538 -0.64265 -0.67163 -0.30715 0.925998 0.581315 -0.32571 -0.74384 0.024494 0.061885 -0.03739 930331 1993.25 -0.02287 -0.13531 1.298479 -0.41309 1.988827 -0.54816 -0.40542 -0.77087 1.379522 -0.95316 0.654214 -0.02287 -0.02548 0.002605 930430 1993.333 0.024881 -1.3595 0.25259 -0.25235 -0.90815 -0.07979 -1.35828 -0.12377 -0.6535 -1.04307 -0.22777 0.024881 0.002026 0.022855 930528 1993.417 0.005223 -2.33134 0.69906 -0.09882 0.474198 0.607076 -0.85036 -0.78589 -0.40415 -0.73745 -0.15513 0.005223 0.010509 -0.00529 930630 1993.5 -0.00104 -0.40969 -0.05149 0.439806 -0.03141 1.086716 1.03981 -0.06542 2.237455 -0.68337 0.191771 -0.00104 0.014493 -0.01553 930730 1993.583 0.037355 0.654201 0.19522 0.14633 -0.24891 0.322142 -0.72069 0.360246 0.690407 -1.48203 -0.425 0.037355 0.021543 0.015812 930831 1993.667 -0.00418 0.399257 -1.51178 0.483379 -0.5922 -0.84236 -1.5398 0.20364 -0.15821 0.254382 -2.43809 -0.00418 0.003127 -0.0073 930930 1993.75 0.017279 -0.46931 -0.36504 -0.51522 0.21809 0.918377 -0.73583 2.763754 0.471757 0.610408 1.489576 0.017279 0.00975 0.007529 931029 1993.833 -0.01513 0.866329 0.323206 0.408774 -0.189 0.857423 0.375881 -0.19569 -0.06119 1.096096 1.577541 -0.01513 -0.01745 0.002313 931130 1993.917 0.018149 -0.92372 -0.96921 -1.67636 0.332474 -0.88316 0.283529 -0.76772 -0.69119 0.199991 1.223333 0.018149 0.005777 0.012372 931231 1994 NA 1.277463 -1.71747 -0.21725 -0.30124 0.614149 -1.03796 -0.14371 -0.11218 1.6995 0.866991 0.031532 0.054732 -0.0232 940131 1994.083 NA -1.4526 0.114324 0.591413 1.562674 -1.35403 -0.57494 -1.2702 1.419769 1.446901 -0.36472 -0.02665 0.054422 -0.08107 940228 1994.167 NA 0.348922 0.994263 0.74931 0.192904 -0.40353 0.936875 0.322803 0.089046 0.634331 -1.59762 -0.04294 0.055518 -0.09846 940331 1994.25 NA -0.05535 0.830095 -0.30909 -0.96029 0.838764 -0.05986 1.082541 0.685314 0.731117 0.323586 0.01379 -0.00477 0.018556 940429 1994.333 NA -1.228 0.833745 0.135318 -0.69086 -0.85602 -3.31584 -0.66606 -0.30485 -0.22635 -0.03691 0.010774 0.156573 -0.1458 940531 1994.417 NA 0.145022 -0.28257 1.419799 -0.24047 0.28716 0.412762 -0.00341 -0.50339 0.315699 1.772172 -0.02577 -0.04246 0.016696 940630 1994.5 NA -0.8395 1.237516 1.313154 -1.31058 -0.97076 -1.51238 -0.49114 1.360191 1.113525 1.157822 0.032153 0.057244 -0.02509 940729 1994.583 NA -0.09626 1.114465 -1.68227 -1.7119 -0.86099 0.830298 -1.30326 2.440823 -2.0984 1.020385 0.039319 0.043348 -0.00403 940831 1994.667 NA -0.85758 -0.91516 -0.29867 -0.74692 -0.01795 0.934759 0.442644 0.323968 -1.22596 -0.14613 -0.02146 -0.03885 0.01739 940930 1994.75 NA 0.764975 -0.33501 0.120089 1.710539 1.553345 0.998764 -1.0934 -1.50346 0.477688 0.404638 0.013956 0.022145 -0.00819 941031 1994.833 NA 0.045009 -1.62525 -0.31927 -0.86985 -0.10832 1.405463 1.837408 0.295429 -1.70515 0.320257 -0.0378 0.064649 -0.10245 941130 1994.917 NA 1.928383 -0.80509 -0.65893 1.190523 2.309754 0.295328 0.724063 1.034762 0.149224 1.459083 0.014629 0.089222 -0.07459 941230